Horas do mercado Forex Correlação monetária Algumas moedas tendem a se mover na mesma direção, alguns mdash em oposto. Este é um conhecimento poderoso para aqueles que negociam mais de um par de moedas. Ela ajuda a proteger, diversificar ou dobrar posições lucrativas. Medidos estatisticamente pelo desempenho, os pares de moedas são dados os chamados coeficientes de correlação de 1 a -1. Uma correlação de 1 significa que dois pares de moedas se moverão na mesma direção 100 do tempo. Uma correlação de -1 significa que eles vão se mover na direção oposta 100 do tempo. Uma correlação de zero significa que não existe relação entre pares de moedas. Informações sobre os coeficientes de correlação atuais podem ser encontradas aqui: Tabela de Correlação de Moedas. Na página, clique em FxCorrelations (versão de tabela). O exemplo de forte correlação positiva entre dois pares de moedas é: GBP / USD e EUR / USD. Eles têm um coeficiente de correlação de mais de 0,90, o que significa que quando EUR / USD sobe, GBP / USD também sobe. Uma amostra bem conhecida de dois pares de moedas em movimento opostos é EUR / USD e USD / CHF, eles têm um coeficiente muito alto de mais de -0.90, o que significa que eles se movem inversamente quase 100 vezes. / USD e GBP / USD USD / CHF e USD / JPY AUD / USD e GBP / USD AUD / USD e EUR / USD Os pares em movimento inverso são: EUR / USD e USD / CHF GBP / USD e USD / USD / JPY GBP / USD e USD / CAD AUD / USD e USD / JPY Como um comerciante pode usar esta informação 1. Um uso muito simples é evitar comércios que se cancelam mutuamente. Por exemplo, sabendo que o EUR / USD eo USD / CHF se movem inversamente quase perfeitamente, não haveria nenhum ponto para ficar curto em ambas as posições, uma vez que eventualmente cancelar uns aos outros (perda de lucro). 1.a. No entanto, existe uma estratégia de cobertura de um par de moedas com outro. Vamos pegar os mesmos pares: EUR / USD e USD / CHF. Por exemplo, um trader abriu posições longas em ambos os pares de moedas. Uma vez que eles se movem em direções opostas, se EUR / USD está fazendo algumas perdas, o outro par vai entrar em lucro. Assim, a perda total não será tão ruim como se fosse sem o segundo comércio de backup. Por outro lado, os lucros aqui também não são grandes. 2. Quando confiante, um comerciante pode dobrar o tamanho da posição, colocando as mesmas ordens em pares de moedas paralelos (se movendo na mesma direção). 3. Outra opção seria diversificar os riscos no comércio. Por exemplo, os pares AUD / USD e EUR / USD têm o coeficiente de correlação de cerca de 0,70, o que significa que os pares estão se movendo principalmente na mesma direção, mas não tão perfeita (o que é o que precisamos aqui). Se decidimos que o USD vai enfraquecer, por exemplo, iremos demorar e colocar metade da ordem de compra no par de moedas AUD / USD e metade no EUR / USD. Dividindo as ordens irá preservar posições de comerciantes de repentina perder rallies (saltos súbitos no preço) e como estas moedas não mover 100 idêntico um comerciante terá algum tempo para reagir adequadamente. Diferentes políticas monetárias de países diferentes bancos também criam um impacto: quando uma moeda será menos afetada do que a outra e, portanto, irá mover mais lento. 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OANDA Japan Co. Ltd. 8212 108710771088107410991081 10761080108810771082109010861088 10871086 108610871077108810721094108011031084 1089 10921080108510721085108910861074109910841080 1080108510891090108810911084107710851090107210841080 1090108010871072 Kanto Local de Finanças (Kin-sho), 108810771075. 8470 2137 1095108310771085 1040108910891086109410801072109410801080 1092108010851072108510891086107410991093 109211001102109510771088108910861074, 108810771075. 8470 1571.
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